Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 66.269284 74.983229 83.902282 93.680803 104.068170 114.743119 126.513039
2025-11-02 52.954504 65.448719 78.827971 94.083997 110.869865 128.660173 148.827956
2025-11-09 44.197813 58.606878 74.583205 93.328538 114.461680 137.321429 163.699791
2025-11-16 37.981104 53.745600 71.780040 93.465004 118.408328 145.833778 177.920678
2025-11-23 32.389994 48.943880 68.472679 92.502776 120.654139 152.058321 189.242964
2025-11-30 28.888722 46.281949 67.356075 93.792432 125.225813 160.695922 203.088111
2025-12-07 26.045257 44.142685 66.627428 95.331646 129.913219 169.326821 216.809287
2025-12-14 22.480728 40.715932 64.035375 94.389596 131.483209 174.210094 226.115938
2025-12-21 19.005819 37.065267 60.893554 92.544955 131.786428 177.466442 233.416343
2025-12-28 18.017684 36.799221 62.057015 96.010851 138.459579 188.170355 249.338430
2026-01-04 16.536865 35.673146 61.983263 97.833142 143.069958 196.396090 262.342974
2026-01-11 14.388058 33.338204 60.137097 97.268171 144.651191 200.949023 270.985719
2026-01-18 12.431654 31.126076 58.358812 96.736593 146.260463 205.557430 279.750839
2026-01-25 11.010241 29.626212 57.479704 97.317308 149.217792 211.765601 290.403338
2026-02-01 9.364004 27.547832 55.641537 96.517136 150.349680 215.699892 298.299994
2026-02-08 8.141355 26.057644 54.560377 96.661592 152.628740 220.992781 307.791802
2026-02-15 6.792761 24.140465 52.721966 95.680034 153.391936 224.376109 314.950920
2026-02-22 6.084884 23.370864 52.572916 96.994461 157.101415 231.375163 326.461690
2026-03-01 5.494429 22.760308 52.626448 98.562813 161.124074 238.753301 338.429748
2026-03-08 4.498604 21.109277 50.939240 97.602941 161.778773 241.907401 345.244215
2026-03-15 3.485191 19.181177 48.674723 95.723164 161.146633 243.400701 349.992995
2026-03-22 3.396919 19.511458 50.146477 99.254827 167.728379 253.962626 365.843905
2026-03-29 3.073903 19.179782 50.480080 101.111277 172.061867 261.692335 378.229130